Champions League Group Permutations – Who needs what to qualify for the last 16?

We have just one round of Champions League group stage fixtures left and a lot is still to be decided at the top of each group. Manchester United, RB Leipzig and PSG are involved in the closest battle in Group H.

There is also a lot to be decided in Group B where all four teams can still qualify for the last 16. Inter are on five points, Real Madrid and Shakhtar Donekst on seven and Borussia Monchengladbach are top on eight.

Some of the teams are already through to the last 16 and these are:

Group A: Bayern Munich (group winners)
Group C: Manchester City (group winners), Porto
Group D: Liverpool (group winners)
Group E: Chelsea (group winners), Sevilla
Group F: Borussia Dortmund
Group G: Barcelona, Juventus

 

Group A Permutations

1. Bayern Munich – 13pts
2. Atletico Madrid – 6pts
3. RB Salzburg – 4pts
4. Lokomotiv Moscow – 3pts

Bayern Munich:

Through to the Round of 16 as group winners.

Atlético Madrid:

Will go through if they avoid defeat by Salzburg.

If they lose, they will go into the UEFA Europa League round of 32 in third place.

Salzburg:

Will go through if they beat Atlético.

Will finish third if they do not win, provided Lokomotiv do not beat Bayern.

Lokomotiv:

Unable to reach the round of 16.

Will finish third if they beat Bayern and Salzburg do not beat Atlético.

 

Group B Permutations

1. Borussia Monchengladbach – 8pts
2. Shakhtar Donetsk – 7pts
3. Real Madrid – 7pts
4. Inter Milan – 5pts

Monchengladbach:

Will go through if they avoid defeat or if Shakhtar draw with Inter.

Will finish first if they win.

Cannot finish below third place.

Shakhtar Donetsk:

Will go through if they beat Inter Milan, or if both games are drawn.

Will win the group if they win and Mönchengladbach do not.

Shakhtar will finish fourth if they lose and Madrid avoid defeat.

Real Madrid:

Will go through if they beat Mönchengladbach, or if they draw and Shakhtar lose to Inter.

Will win the group if they win and Shakhtar do not.

Finish fourth if both they and Shakhtar lose.

Inter Milan:

Will go through if they beat Shakhtar and the other game is not drawn.

Inter will finish fourth if they do not win.

 

Group C Permutations

1. Manchester City – 13pts
2. Porto – 10pts
3. Olympiakos – 3pts
4. Marseille – 3pts

 

Manchester City:

Through as group winners.

Porto:

Through as group runners-up.

Olympiacos:

Will finish third as long as Marseille do not pick up more points than they do due to their head-to-head away goals superiority.

Marseille:

Must pick up more points than Olympiacos to pip them to third place.

 

Group D Permutations

1. Liverpool – 12pts
2. Atalanta – 8pts
3. Ajax – 7pts
4. FC Midtylland – 1pt

Liverpool:

Through as group winners.

Atalanta:

Will go through if they avoid defeat by Ajax.

Ajax:

Will go through if they beat Atalanta.

Midtjylland:

Will finish fourth.

 

Group E Permutations

1. Chelsea – 13pts
2. Sevilla – 10pts
3. Krasnodar – 4pts
4. Rennes – 1pt

Chelsea

Through to the round of 16 as group winners.

Sevilla:

Through to the round of 16.

Krasnodar:

Will finish third and enter the UEFA Europa League round of 32.

Rennes

Will finish fourth.

 

Group F Permutations

1. Borussia Dortmund – 10pts
2. Lazio – 9pts
3. Club Brugge – 7pts
4. Zenit St Petersburg – 1pt

Borussia Dortmund:

Are through to the round of 16.

They will win the group if they beat Zenit, if both games are drawn, or whatever their result if Lazio lose to Club Brugge.

Lazio:

Will go through if they avoid defeat by Club Brugge.

They will win the group if they win and Dortmund do not, or if Lazio draw and Dortmund lose.

Club Brugge:

Will go through if they beat Lazio.

Zenit ST Petersburg:

Will finish fourth.

 

Group G Permutations

1. Barcelona – 15pts
2. Juventus – 12pts
3. Dynamo Kiev – 1pt
4. Ferencvaros – 1pt

Barcelona:

Through to the round of 16.

Will win the group unless Juventus win by three goals or more, or any two-goal margin other than 2-0.

Juventus:

Through to the round of 16.

Need to beat Barcelona by three goals or more, or any two-goal margin other than 2-0

Dynamo Kiev:

To finish third, Dynamo must win or draw 0-0, 1-1 or 2-2

Ferencváros

Will finish 3rd unless Dynamo win or draw 0-0, 1-1 or 2-2; all other results mean Ferencváros finish third.

 

Group H Permutations

1. Manchester United – 9pts
2. PSG – 9pts
3. RB Leipzig – 9pts
4. Istanbul Basaksehir – 3pts

Manchester United:

Wwill go through if they avoid defeat by Leipzig.

United will finish first if they avoid defeat and Paris do not beat Başakşehir.

PSG:

Will go through if they avoid defeat by Başakşehir, or even if they lose should the other game not end in a draw.

PSG will finish first if they win.

RB Leipzig:

Will go through if they beat United, or if they draw and Paris lose to Başakşehir.

Leipzig will finish first if they win and Paris do not.

İstanbul Başakşehir:

Will finish fourth.

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