Grand National Tips 2022 – Two 50/1 Tips to Consider for your Each-way Bets

The Grand National for me, is the race that got me into National Hunt Racing. I can remember the morning of the race, getting the paper and going through the “form” or what I knew of it at the time. And when Red Marauder won the 2001 race at 40/1, my love of an outsider was born!

(I maintain I picked him because of his soft ground form and nice racing weight…. The fact that I am ginger was pure coincidence). Incidentally, 40/1 is also the price that I backed Minella Times at last year, exactly 1 month before the race. 

In an age where Cheltenham ante-post punting is on its knees, I still believe that the Grad National can offer some value, with some firms offering 6 places EW NRNB terms. (Last year there were not too many going above 6 places on the day, so I think that’s fair).

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What do I Look for in a Grand National Winner?

There can be no denying that the race is not what it was when Papillon won at the turn of the century. The (necessary) efforts to improve the safety of the race and the welfare of the horses mean that jumping is not the deciding factor it once was. That being said, I am looking for a horse who has the pace to travel and get into a prominent position, and jumping like a bag of hammers will certainly not do the job.

While safety requires that the ground will have soft in the title, the forecasted good weather will also mean that this will be on the good side, so Spring form is a plus.

I also wouldn’t be afraid to back a horse that hasn’t tried the trip before. Last year’s winner was untried past 3m 1f and I think there is an argument that (unless you are Tiger Roll) once a horse has been through the pain barrier, they can be reluctant to go through with that sort of effort again…

The Tiger is also the only 10+ year old to win since 2015 (a trend mirrored in most Cheltenham races recently). I am happy to take these trends at face value on the Basis that the Tiger was a beast of a horse. 

Here, I will outline the case for 3 Grand National each-way betting tips in the 2022 renewal.

 

Grand National Each-way Tips

• Noble Yeats
• Kildisart

 

Noble Yeats (50/1)

Ever since Noble Yeats beat Gabynako over 2m 2f in Galway in October, I have been convinced that there is a Handicap in him. Gabynako is now an Arkle runner-up off 160 and Emmet Mullins 7-year-old races here off 148. His recent purchase by Robert Waley Cohen, for Sam to ride, convinced me that the 2022 Grand National was that target. Hence I am happy to disregard his Cheltenham run last time out when he was very weak in the betting. And cliché alert…. Emmet Mullins is one of the shrewdest target trainers around. 

Now the obvious argument is that a 7-year-old has never won the race, but I think that there is a case that in it’s new format, this could be a trend ready to be broken. His 2nd to Ahoy Senor reads well and despite his trainer stating earlier in the year that he “likes a bit of juice in the ground”, all his recent runs have been in some variation of Good ground. The markets don’t really miss it when E. Mullins fancies one so any market support should be followed but I think the 33s available with Hills is very fair. 

Now, full disclosure, myself and OB flipped a coin for who got to tip Farclas so there is a chance that he just goes and wins and in that case, I want to take some credit. But I do also really like the chances of my final selection.

 

Kildisart (50/1)

Ben Pauling has had a tough time but has had 3 winners out of his last 18 starts including the winner of the Grand Annual. Kildisart had been off the track for 18 months before his staying on 4th over 2m 5 behind Paint the Dream off top weight at Newbury. The trainer is on record that this run was simply to get him qualified for this race, that he will come on from that, and is also in the best physical shape he has ever been in. 

Exciting times for @benpauling1!

Kildisart is set to be the yard's first runner in the Grand National and worked well this morning ahead of his big day at Aintree a week on Saturday. @simon_munir pic.twitter.com/CmqrvMZB17

— Sky Sports Racing (@SkySportsRacing) March 29, 2022

A look back through his form shows that he has class. He was a narrow second to the ill-fated The Conditional off a mark 3lbs higher than this, while on his last trip to Aintree he won a competitive handicap chase off 1lb higher on good ground. 

He has schooled over the fences and while his age is in contrast with my trends from earlier on, he is lightly raced which I am hoping will combat this. 

 

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