ITV Racing Tips for Boxing Day 2022 from Kempton and Wetherby

Kempton betting tips

The ITV Racing for Boxing Day 2022 features the traditional Kempton card and the big race of the festive period, the King George Chase. There are a total of four races from Kempton and one from Wetherby live on ITV.

On a bumper day of racing, Henry has focused on the ITV races for his preview and picked a tip from each race, as well as a win and each-way tip from the big race of the day, the King George.

 

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12:45 Kempton

The 12:45 is the first Grade 1 of four from Kempton, the Long Walk Hurdle for the staying hurdlers over an extended 3 miles.

I’m happy to take on Champ here as he’s obviously not getting any younger and he often runs his best race of the season first time up. Paisley Park is a serious danger on soft ground here if they go quick as he’ll be staying on strongest.

However, it’s GOSHEN (7/2) NB for me here. His record going right-handed is strong and this flat track should play to his strengths. He wasn’t stopping last time out at Ascot over 2 and half when putting Brewin’upastorm away and I think he might get his own way in front and can set steady fractions. Obviously, Not So Sleepy could go from the front but running over 3m for the first time, they may try and take a lead. Goshen has recently been shaping as though a step up in trip would suit him well and he’s definitely got the most scope for improvement in this line-up.

Miranda deserves a mention but the price has gone on her and the form of her victory in a 3 runner mares hurdle last time out is sceptical.

 

1:20 Kempton

Next up is the Kauto Star Novices Chase, a Grade 1 for the novice chases over 3m.

Paul Nicholls has a strong record in this race and he holds a strong hand with McFabulous and Gelino Bello here. McFabulous has impressed with his jumping and is a worthy favourite. I think if the ground dries out on the chase course he’ll be well supported.

I’m happy to support the Dan Skelton mare in GALIA DES LITEAUX (11/4) NAP. She gets weight off her rivals here and Skelton must be confident to let her take her chance alone as the well fancied Ballygriffincottage was pulled out at the finals declarations stage. The selection was an impressive winner on chase debut at Bangor last month and she’ll relish any undercut conditions more than her rivals. I think Skelton may try and make this a stamina test and use her strengths.

 

1:35 Wetherby

The one race from Wetherby is a very competitive renewal of the Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase.

Shan Blue is the obvious one off his current mark but he’s too short in a race of this nature. The one I like is TOP VILLE BEN (22/1) EW at a big price. This is always his Gold Cup and he’s ran two absolute crackers in it over the last three years. In 2019, he won it well before faltering close to home in a war of attrition behind Good Bob Bobby and Lord Du Mesnil. I don’t think the 2022 with stretch his stamina as much as it did last year and he has to come into each-way consideration at big prices given the fact he’s off 6lb lower this year.

 

1:55 Kempton 

The 1:55 is the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle over 2m where red-hot favourite Constitution Hill the star in show. I’ll look at the betting without market.

Not a strong selection by any means by METIER (betting without fav) 9/1 will do. He’s the one who’s most suited by any cut in the ground and he’s won the Tolworth Hurdle on deep ground as a novice. He ran a cracker on the flat winning a decent competitive handicap last time out and hopefully he can transfer that form to hurdles. He’s value at around 9/1.

 

2:30 Kempton

The Christmas feature comes up at 2:30 and it is the King George VI Chase over 3 miles.

Bravemansgame was my long term fancy for this but I have my doubts on the underfoot conditions. Kempton is a tougher test of stamina than people think especially in a race of this nature. I just don’t fancy him in a battle and he will do well to win this on the bridle. Paul Nicholls’ other contender Hitman has a lot to prove still for me and im happy to ignore him.

I have no doubt L’HOMME PRESSE (9/4) is the best horse in this race. He jumps well, finds plenty off the bridle and enjoys undercut conditions. He won the Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham this year before running flat at Aintree after a hard season. He returned to winning ways on his seasonal return defying a lofty weight at Newcastle in the Rehearsal Chase and he should now be spot on for this.

I’ll also have a small saver on AHOY SENOR (16/1). I think we will know our fate early on as I’d expect him to go either very close to winning or being beat early on. He has some engine and clearly has the ability to win a race like this. He has beat both the market leaders at Aintree only 8 months ago and his second run this season was obviously a lot better than his first. Hopefully he can come forward again and he shouldn’t be 20/1.

 

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