Mares Hurdle 2025 Tips, Predictions, Preview and Odds
Mares Hurdle 2025 Tips – Back or Lay Brighterdaysahead?
CIARAN: At 10/11, if you knew Brighterdaysahead was going here and Lossie wasn’t, she is the banker of all bankers. The performance at Christmas was staggering and there isn’t a mare in the field (Lossie arguably aside) who could live with her.
Layers would have 3 things in their favour:
- She may go to the Champion Hurdle
- She was beaten here last year
- That run at Christmas may have taken a lot out of her.
But my instinct tells me she will end up here, that the race last year wasn’t run to suit and that skipping the DRF and coming here fresh was exactly the right thing to do.
Verdict: Back
ADAM: There are a few races at Cheltenham with lots of question marks over due to the unknown of who will actually take their place in those races. The Mares Hurdle certainly fits into that category with the top of the market not 100% confirmed to line up.
Will Brighterdaysahead run? Will connections of Lossiemouth divert to this? It’s still a guessing game currently and we might not know for certain until 10am on Sunday 9th March. But we are here to have a view and mine is that I believe Brighterdaysahead runs here and Lossiemouth will go to the Champion hurdle as planned.
If that’s the case then she ranks as one of the bankers of the meeting and there’s not another mare who can come close to her. Her form at 2m this season has been outstanding but connections have always said that her ideal trip is 2 ½ miles and I see no problem with her taking her chance here and bolting up
Verdict: Back Brighterdaysahead
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Mares Hurdle Each-way Tip – Kala Conti 25/1
The value of this selection is heavily linked to the Champion Hurdle lineup. Just reading between the lines of quotations and exchange fluctuations, my current view is that Brighterdaysahead will go to the main dance. Lossiemouth’s connections have always maintained that she will also go there but if the Gigginstown Mare leaves this door open, and given Paul Townends seeming preference for State Man, I wonder if it is Rich Ricci’s Mare that will come here. I don’t see any way that both mares run here, and it is very possible neither do.
As a result, I think there is each-way value to be had in the race and I think it may lie with Kala Conti. July Flower is as short as 7/2 for this off the back of her Leopardstown performance at Christmas but she wasn’t the best horse in that race at the weights. That was Kala Conti who was beaten 4 lengths giving the winner 5 pounds. A look back at her earlier form shows that she was just 3 lengths off winning a grade 1 juvenile at the DRF last year and has a prior defeat of Triumph Hurdle runner-up Kargese (and it is well reported how well the Juvenile form from last year is working out). Of her market rivals, Kargese herself will hardly be suited by the step up to 2 and half miles and Jade de Grugy is coming off an injury layoff. While there is an outside chance she goes to a handicap, exchanges suggest she will turn up here and at 25/1 she represents good ew value, even if I wouldn’t suggest that she would beat the 2 market principles. However in the not unlikely scenario, they both go to the Champion Hurdle, you are getting a massive price for a live contender.
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Mares Hurdle Trends
- Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5-7
- Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 10/12 winners won on their last run before the Mares Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 52 days
- Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 148 or higher
- Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a Grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
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