Turners Novices Hurdle Tips, Predicitons and Odds – Cheltenham Festival 2025
The opener on Day 2 at the Cheltenham Festival is the Turners Novices Hurdle over 2m5f. Some of the racing greats have won this from the gutsy Hardy Eustace in 2003 to the machine that is Faugheen in 2014.
This looks a wide-open race and it’s going to be tough to pick the winner of the Turners Novices’ until we know the final entries.
Turners Novice Hurdle Tip – Kawaboomga 8/1
Having initially come to my attention when being put up as a horse to follow at the start of the year by both Tony and Danny Mullins, I also noted the comments about Kawaboomga after his defeat in a Maiden Hurdle at Christmas. The winner that day was a certain Kopek Des Bordes and the talk from Closutton was that if Kopek could jump badly and still beat this lad, then he was some horse. The DRF proved this sentiment to be true and while Kawaboomga only won his subsequent Maiden by just over a length, the second that day was the well-regarded William Munny with Koktail Divin 24 lengths behind in 3rd. And the visual impression was that he did it easy enough. He seemed to respond generously when asked for effort by Mark Walsh and within a couple of strides the jockey put down his stick and the race was all over.
The major problem here is that unlike the prior 2 races, this is a red hot contest with grade 1 winners The New Lion, Final Demand and The Yellow Clay all prominent in the betting (albeit with the latter having the option of the Albert Bartlett). I would be confident that no other horse fills the places. Another slight issue is price. I would be happier suggesting this bet at the 10/1 odds that were available last week but unfortunately, Johnny Dineen and a couple of other notable tipsters have also put him up. But we can also take some positive in the shorter price as market confidence seems to be behind the horse and I give him more than just a place chance on the opening race of day 2.
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Turners Novices Hurdle Trends
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
- Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Ballymore Novices Hurdle, 12/12 winners at least placed on their previous run, 9/12 winners ran within the last 66 days
- Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 3/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 winners had a least 1 win over 19-21 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 146 or higher
- Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 10/12 had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 11/12 had at least 2 wins that season
