Cheltenham Day 4 Tips – Friday 14th March 2025
Cheltenham day 4 betting tips for Friday 14th March including the big race of the week, the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
Day 4 of the 2025 Cheltenham Festival features the Cheltenham Gold Cup as the festival comes to a close and below you’ll find our Cheltenham day 4 tips from Ciaran Murphy.
Cheltenham Day 4 Accumulator Tip
1.20pm – Lulamba
2.40pm – Dinoblue
4.00 – Galopin Des Champs
ODDS – 10/1 with William Hill.
Cheltenham Day 4 NAP
1.20pm – Lulamba
ODDS – 2/1 with bet365.
Cheltenham Day 4 Lucky 15 Tip
1.20pm – Lulamba
2.00pm – Kargese
4.40pm – Angels Dawn
5.20pm – Wodhooh
A £1 lucky 15 on these four selections returns up to £665 with Betfred.
Cheltenham Day 4 Tips
- 1.20pm – Lulamba (5/2 with bet365)
- 2.00pm – Absurde (11/2 with William Hill)
- 2.40pm – Dinoblue (11/10 with BetVictor)
- 3.20pm – The Big Westerner (5/1 with Midnite) & Intense Approach (16/1 with bet365) EW
- 4.00pm – Galopin Des Champs (4/7 with Ladbrokes)
- 4.40pm – Willitgoahead (9/2 with SpreadEx)
- 5.20pm – Karafon (12/1 with William Hill) EW
1.20pm – JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1)
The general consensus this year is that the English Juveniles are superior to their Irish counterparts. The result of the Fred Winter on Tuesday would certainly make you reconsider this idea and the form of East India Dock in particular was let down by the run of Stencil (who was admittedly keen). However, I am still backing the English to take the win here with Nicky Henderson’s LULAMBA (5/2). It’s rare that a horse goes from 33/1 to 3/1 favourite without so much as stepping on a racecourse but that (alleged) piece of work seemed to translate to the course at Ascot where he gave 10 pounds to a high-profile recruit (500k and 110 flat rated Mondo Man) and beat him easily. This was extremely impressive and we are still not sure where the limit of his ability lies. East India Dock has course and distance form and has the speed figure gurus waxing lyrical but he hasn’t met a rival like he will today and I think he may come up short.
WIN – Lulamba (5/2 with bet365)
2.00pm – William Hill County Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap)
Just 16 runners go to post for the County Hurdle, which should favour the classier types with less traffic and potential bad luck stories. 9 out of the last 10 renewals have been won by Dan Skelton and Willie Mullins. Skelton relies on Valgraand here who has probably been laid out for the race but certainly doesn’t have the class of the Closutton challenge. And speaking of class, we have dual Melbourne Cup contender and defending champion ABSURDE (7/1) who runs here off just an 8-pound higher mark on ground that will suit infinitely more than last year, He hasn’t had the same prep this year and indeed is having his first run since the Melbourne Cup but Willie showed that he can get one ready first time out on Wednesday with Jimmy Du Seuil (interestingly in that race Paul Townend choice to ride a keen 5 year old backfired and he repeats that trick here). Lark in the Mornin is definitely well handicapped on last year’s Boodles win and McLaurey is hugely progressive but the biggest danger has to be Kargese who is the aforementioned choice of Paul Townend. But 7/2 is very short for a keen-going horse having her first start in a handicap, even off an attractive mark of 141. I can see it coming down to this pair and at the prices I marginally prefer the defending champ.
WIN – Absurde (11/2 with William Hill)
2.40pm – Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase (Registered As The Liberthine Mares’ Chase) (Grade 2)
The Mares Chase is a race that has certainly lost its appeal as the weeks have rolled by with Bioluminescence, Only By Night and Telepathique have come out in recent days for various reasons. It leaves DINOBLUE (11/10) at the top of the market and she is certainly the classiest horse in the race, capable of winning Grade 1 contests over 2m. For those saying she doesn’t get the trip, look back at last year’s race where she was closing the reopposing Limerick Lace all the way to the line. She left a couple of disappointing starts behind when scoring last time out over Allegorie de Vassy and is one pound better off here. Brides Hill may chase her home for the in-form pair of Cromwell and Donoghue and she gets her ideal ground conditions here.
WIN – Dinoblue (11/10 with BetVictor)
3.20pm – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices’ Hurdle)
The Albert Bartlett has had a well-publicised ability to throw up some big-priced winners in the past with the average winning SP of 22/1 over the last 11 years. A mare has also never won the race. So with these trends in mind, the selection in the race is the mare, THE BIG WESTERNER the 9/2 favourite at time of writing. She has been exceptional on both her starts this year, beating Argento Boy and Mozzies Sister with more than just the winning distance in hand. Her RPR and mares allowance are 6 pounds clear of her nearest rival here and while ground would be a slight worry, there is no doubt that she is a classy mare and that could be enough for a trainer with a good record in the race. Given the price history, it would be rude not to put an EW alternative and preference is given to INTENSE APPROACH (16/1) who won over course and distance in October, before being freshened up with this race in mind. This is a tried and trusted path to a place in this race for trainer John McConnell, who achieved this with both Bardenstown Lad and Streets of Doyen. He returned on Good ground in Mussleborough and 3rd place that day has come out and won a handicap since.
WIN – The Big Westerner (5/1 with Midnite)
EACH-WAY – Intense Approach (16/1 with bet365)
4.00pm – Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1)
The blue riband event of the week sees GALOPIN DES CHAMPS (4/7) bid to emulate the likes of Arkle and Best Mate by winning his 3rd Gold Cup. It’s not always necessary to have a bet to enjoy a historic moment like this and surely only an act of God himself can stop Galopin from adding his name to the greats. He is tactically versatile, his jumping is accurate and reliable and the way he puts his rivals to the sword in the final furlong of a race is often breathtaking. He really doesn’t have any chinks in his armour. He is the best-staying chaser that I have seen in my lifetime.
Of his rivals, I don’t have any issues about stamina for Banbridige, who will get his ground and was getting better the further he went in the King George. Inothewayyooourthinkin won at last year’s festival and is supplemented for connections who have to be respected, especially with the extra 2 furlongs certain to suit. We have seen 4 odds on shots beaten in the first 2 days of the festival so we know there is no such thing as a sure thing. But here the head and the heart are in sync and they both say Galopin.
WIN – Galopin Des Champs (4/7 with Ladbrokes)
4.40pm – St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase
It’s not everyday that JP misses out on a target when he sets his mind to it, but the word is that he tried to buy WILLITGOAHEAD (4/1). If that is true, then the question must be asked about how much Noel Moran paid this week to get his hands on this progressive hunter-chaser. He absolutely bolted up last time out at Thurles and at just 7 is a relative baby in this division, and should still be improving. He is a fantastic jumper and his best form has come on good ground. This gives him the edge over Angel’s Dawn, who, while well handicapped on her Kim Muir performances in the last 2 years, would probably want more cut in the ground. Willitgoahead runs here in Gordons Elliot’s name but it is Sean Doyle who has overseen his prep and I hope that this culminates in festival glory.
WIN – Willitgoahead (9/2 with SpreadEx)
5.20pm – Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle
There is something extra special about finding the winner of the last race of the week, but this has been made more difficult by the fact that the favourite Kopeck du Mee has, depending on who you ask, anything from 10 pounds to 2 Stone in hand off French ratings. But I won’t be backing a horse that I hadn’t even heard of 3 weeks ago at 5/2 to win one of the most competitive handicaps of the week. I’ve seen that story a few times in the last couple of years (Gaelic Warrior, Ocastle des Mottes) and it hasn’t produced too many winners. In an earlier column this week, I said to watch out for Tiernan Power Roche in this race and I was glad to see that he gets the leg up on Willie Mullins’s other contender KARAFON (12/1). He has had a typical festival handicap prep, running down the field in 2 grade 1 contests and gets in here off just 135. The step back up to 2 and a half will also suit based on his run over that distance in Clonmel in December and he can put a bow on the Top trainer title for Willie here.
Just 362 more days until we do it all again!
EACH-WAY – Karafon (12/1 with William Hill)
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Cheltenham Day 4 Races
TIMES | RACE | DISTANCE | TYPE |
13:20 | The JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1) | 2m | Hurdle |
14:00 | The William Hill County Handicap Hurdle Race (Premier Handicap) | 2m | Hurdle |
14:40 | The Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Steeple Chase (Grade 2) | 2m 4f | Chase |
15:20 | The Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Race (Grade 1) | 3m | Hurdle |
16:00 | The Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase (Grade 1) | 3m 2f | Chase |
16:40 | The St. James’s Place Festival Hunters Chase | 3m 2f | Chase |
17:20 | Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (0-145) | 2m 4f | Hurdle |
2024 Cheltenham Festival Day 4 Ante-Post Betting Tips
The ante-post markets are starting to hot up with bookies going NRNB on the racing and so our Friday betting tips for Cheltenham are taking shape.
We continually keep our eyes on the markets as well as making the most of any insider knowledge and news coming out of the stables. Our resident horse racing expert has been hard at it and you’ll find their top ante-post betting tips on Cheltenham Day 4 below…
Where Can I Bet On Cheltenham Festival Day 4?
It’s the big one and the bookies are always out in full force on the final day of the Cheltenham Festival. For many, it’s all about the Gold Cup, but you’ll find great odds on all seven races across the day.
The likes of SBK, Coral, Betfred and LiveScoreBet all will have great value odds and a host of specials to enjoy, while the same can be said for the likes of Paddy Power too, who always manage to pull something interesting out of their hat on Gold Cup day.
We’ll always bring you the bookie with the best odds for all of our tips, while you can play with some of our very favourites by browsing the most tried and trusted below…
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Triumph Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
- Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the Triumph Hurdle, 12/12 winners had their last run within the last 48 days
- 7/12 winners ran in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 7 won, 3 placed
- 2/12 winners ran in the Finesse Juvenile Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
- Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 Furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over 15-17 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
- Rating – 8/12 winners were rated 140 or higher (4/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
- Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
County Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 9 of the last 12 winners have been aged 5 or 6
- Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 8/12 winners were priced 10/1 or bigger
- Weight – 9/12 winners carried 11st 1lb or less
- Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the County Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 72 days
- Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 1/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over 15-17 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 15-17 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1
- Previous win over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
- Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
- Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 7/12 winners won on their previous run before the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle, 9/12 winners had their last run within 54 days
- Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over 23-25 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 140 or higher
- Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 11 of last 12 winners were aged between 7-9
- Price – 5 of last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 9 of last 12 winners won on their previous run before the Cheltenham Gold Cup, 11/12 winners had their last run within the last 80 days, 12/12 winners had their last run 33 days or longer ago
- 3/12 winners ran in the Irish Gold Cup (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
- 2/12 winners ran in the Denman Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
- 2/12 winners ran in the Savills Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
- Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous Cheltenham run, 6/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 24 furlongs or further, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 24 furlongs or further, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 24 furlongs or further
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
- Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous chase wins, 11/12 had at least 3 previous chase wins
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 164 or higher, 5/12 were rated 170 or higher
- Grade 1 Wins – 12/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 1 race, 7/12 had won at least 2
- Grade 2 Wins – 9/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 2 race, 5/12 had won at least 2
- Grade 3 Wins – 8/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 3 race
- Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 had at least 1 win that season
Hunter Chase Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or older
- Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 6/12 winners won on their last run before the Hunters Chase, 9/12 winners won or placed on their last run before Cheltenham, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 43 days
- Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 26/27 furlongs, 3 of the 7 had at least 1 win over 26/27 furlongs
- Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
- Rating – 10/12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher
- Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 10 of the last 12 winners have been aged 5 or 6
- Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourite, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 8/12 winners were priced 11/1 or bigger
- Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
- Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 7/12 had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 12/12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher
- Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
What Are Other Pundits Predicting For Cheltenham Festival Day 4?
Every man and their dog will have their thoughts on the Gold Cup, but we’re only interested in what our trusted tipsters and the best pundits in the game have to say. Throughout ITV Racing’s coverage there will be plenty of ex-jockeys and pundits having their say, including the likes of Ruby Walsh, AP McCoy and popular names like Matt Chapman.
We make sure you don’t miss anything they have to say, and as well as on this page, you’ll find a dedicated pundits tips page where you’ll find all their tips and how to bet on them right across the festival.
2024 Cheltenham Festival Free Bets for Day 4
Why not finish off your festival of betting in style with one of the dozens of free bets available to bet on the Gold Cup and every other race across Day 4. All your favourite bookmakers will be offering top promotions, from Betfred to SBK, and we’ll bring then directly to you.
You’ll find many available below, while you can also head to our free bet page where we have a host of others as well as the information you need to sign up and start playing.
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