Cheltenham Day 4 Tips – Cheltenham Friday Tips 15th March 2024
Cheltenham day 4 betting tips for Friday 15th March including the big race of the week, the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
Day 4 of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival features the Cheltenham Gold Cup as the festival comes to a close and below you’ll find our Cheltenham day 4 tips from Ciaran Murphy.
Cheltenham Day 4 Betting Tips
| Race | Tip | Bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30pm - Triumph Hurdle | Majborough | 9/2 |
| 2.10pm - County Hurdle | King of Kingsfield | 5/1 |
| So Scottish (ew) | 14/1 | |
| 2.50pm - Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle | Gidleigh Park | 7/1 |
| 3.30pm - Cheltenham Gold Cup | Galopin Des Champs | 11/10 |
| 4.10pm - Festival Challenge Cup Hunters Chase | It's on the Line | 9/4 |
| Premier Magic | 13/2 | |
| 4.50pm - Paddy Power Mares Chase | Riviere D’Etel (each-way) | 20/1 |
| 5.30pm - Martin Pipe Hurdle | Better Days Ahead | 10/1 |
1.30 Triumph Hurdle
This race revolves around the well being or otherwise of long time antepost favourite Sir Gino, with Nicky Henderson yard under a huge cloud. 6 of his 9 runners on the first 2 days of the festival were pulled up while stable stars Constitution Hill, Jonbon and Shiskin didn’t even make it to the course. And while he was visually impressive last time out, he beat an arguably below-par Burdett Road and Milan Tino who couldn’t win the Boodles off 126. The Irish Novices have also filled the first 5 places in both the Supreme and the Gallagher Novice Hurdles. There is no doubt that he needs to be taken on and Closutton is clearly the place to go to find one to do so.
Willie Mullins obviously has a strong hand and respect has to be given to Paul Townend’s choice Storm Heart. He was very impressive on debut at Punchestown and ran credibly in defeat to Kargese at the DRF. However 3rd that day, on stable debut, was MAJBOROUGH. He led most of the way round before possibly tiring late on his first run in 10 months. He has form on heavy ground in France and while perceived wisdom is that he is going to be a better chaser, that’s no reason why he can’t pick up this pot along the way.
Salvator Mundi is worth a market check on stable debut but may be one for next year’s novice hurdles while the ground has probably gone against DRF eye catcher Ethical Diamond.
- 1.30pm Tip: Majborough – 9/2 with BetVictor.
2.10 County Hurdle
In my ante-post handicap Lucky 15 column, I made a case for KING OF KINGSFIELD whose mark remained unchanged from his Irish 140 rating. Given that on his latest start, he was 3rd to Ballyburn and Slade Steel, that form could not be working out much better and he clearly has a favourites chance.
That article also made a case for Pied Piper, effectively running off a 1-pound lower mark than when second in this race last year, albeit I would prefer slightly better ground for him though. And while the same can be said for Emmet Mullins’ SO SCOTTISH, there was a lot to like about his run at the DRF, where he travelled like a dream before probably hitting the front too soon. One of the best target trainers in the business, if that was a prep for a big day today, he won’t be far away and at 16/1 represents great each-way value if handling softer-than-ideal conditions.
- 2.10pm Tip: King of Kingsfield – 5/1 with bet365.
- 2.10pm Tip: So Scottish (each-way) – 14/1 with Coral.
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2.50 Albert Bartlett
Another race that I analysed from an ante-post perspective (see it here) and advised backing Dancing City at 8/1. However, that was on the assumption that Reading Tommy Wrong would end up in the Gallagher Hurdle and instead, he rocks up here as Paul Townend’s choice. As a result his odds (3/1) are skimpy in what looks an open contest. The form of Ile Atlantique and Predators Gold on Wednesday would not inspire confidence in either horse and with RTW yet to race over 2m 4f, I will reluctantly be looking elsewhere
Despite pointing out the poor performance of the British Novice Hurdlers this year so far, it was the same story last March before a British winner of this race. Perhaps it will be Deja Vu here with Harry Fry’s unbeaten novice GIDLEIGH PARK fitting a lot of the trends as a 6-year-old with 3 hurdle wins under his belt, the last of which was at the course. The second that day, Lucky Place, defied horrific stable form to place 4th in the Coral Cup on Wednesday while last year in a bumper GP readily dispatched The Jukebox Man who reopposes here. He is a very strong travelling type with plenty of stamina in his pedigree and should be bang there at the finish. At 7/1, he represents the best value in the race in my eyes.
- 2.50pm – Gidleigh Park – 7/1 with Coral.
3.30 Gold Cup
Galopin Des Champs turns up here to defend his crown and become Willie Mullins’ Second back to back winner in the last 5 years. He came into that race off an unbeaten campaign with stamina questions to answer, questions which he emphatically answered when powering up the hill to win by 7 lengths. And while he followed that up with consecutive defeats by the reopposing Fastorslow, I think that the blessing in this is that they had rediscovered how to ride him to best effect. I think we will see an even better performance this year and I can see no other outcome other than a GALOPIN DES CHAMPS victory. I can also see plenty trying to take him on so don’t be worried if he drifts slightly on the day.
Read our 1-2-3 prediction for the Gold Cup here.
If trying to figure out who could chase him home, preference would be given to the completely unexposed Gentlemansgame, having just his 4th chase start for Mouse Morris. He had subsequent Irish National winner I am Maximus 8 lengths behind on chase debut and was good value for his defeat of Bravemansgame (albeit in receipt of 6 pounds). He is clearly a hard horse to keep sound but when he turns up, he oozes quality and could run a big race.
- 3.30pm Tip: Galopin Des Champs – 11/10 with Betfred.
4.10 Hunters Chase
Narrowly defeated last year at 28/1, IT’S ON THE LINE returns as an improved animal this year and aims to go one better, this time in the Green and Gold of JP McManus. He arrives of the back of 3 wins, including one over market rival Ferns Lock. Although he is 7 pounds worse off for just a half-length defeat, Ferns Lock has serious stamina questions to answer, a stone which cannot be thrown and Emmet Mullins charge. On his latest start, Ferns Kick defeated another Mullins horse, Romeo Magico and I’d imagine that gave Emmet an idea of where he stood. He also claimed at the start of the week that this was his best chance of a winner, and seeing how Corbetts Cross powered up the hill, that is some statement.
Defending champion PREMIER MAGIC is probably a little overpriced in the market, coming here on a 7 race-winning streak. I would expect another strong showing and at 7/1, I would put anyone off an EW bet in case something goes amiss with the favourite.
- 4.10pm Tip: It’s on the Line – 9/4 with bet365.
- 4.10pm – Premier Magic (each-way) – 13/2 with William Hill.
4.50 Mares Chase
The favourite Dinoblue will be very hard to beat here. Since her second in the Grand Annual last year, she has ran 5 races and been beaten just once by El Fabiolo. However each of these races was run over 2 miles and with the ground likely to remain soft/heavy, this trip will take plenty of getting. Connections seem adamant that this won’t be an issue and while I suspect that this will be the case, at 11/10, I would be happy to look elsewhere.
RIVIERE D’ETEL was just 4 lengths being Allegorie De Vassey last time out in Naas over just 2 miles and is a pound better off here. Previous to that she slammed the same rival by 33 lengths over this trip and while this was flattering, she is around 5 times the price here. She wasn’t completely out of it when falling 3 out last year and while she is certainly better going right-handed but Gaelic Warrior has shown us this week that this isn’t necessarily a deal breaker. At 20/1, I’m willing to take an EW Swing.
- 4.50pm Tip: – Riviere D’Etel (each-way) – 20/1 with bet365.
5.30 Martin Pipe
The last race of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival is the Martin Pipe Handicap hurdle, a race for conditional jockeys and horses rated less than 145. It sees two very short-priced fancies for leading and in form stables, Quai De Bourbon for Willie Mullins and Waterford Whispers for Henry De Bromhead. Both could be absolute plot jobs and have been backed accordingly but in a race of this nature, their current odds make limited appeal.
The last leg of the Handicap Lucky 15 mentioned earlier goes onto BETTER DAYS AHEAD who as predicted is the mount of Danny Gilligan (who along with Mikey O’Sullivan and Aidan Kelly are the standout Jockeys in the field in my opinion). That article highlights form lines with Slade Steel and Asian Master who came 1st and 4th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle and currently priced at 12/1, I think he is sure to go off single figures.
No Ordinary Joe, has the assistance of the previously mentioned Aidan Kelly and is without doubt well handicapped, only a pound higher than when second in this race last year. If the stable have shown any signs of life prior to this, he is worth a second look.
- 5.30pm Tip: Better Days Ahead – 10/1 with bet365.
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Cheltenham Day 4 Ante-post Tips
These selections have already been advised on our Cheltenham ante-post series.
1.30pm Cheltenham Day 4 Tip
I believe Sir Gino is the most likely winner and a hard one to expose but I think we could have a lurker in the pack that could be anything and for that reason, I would chance him using one of the Cheltenham 2024 non-runner no bet bookies because if he gets there on the day there’s no chance he will be the price he is now. I’m also happy to put up Majborough as I believe he will come on a bundle for his first run and I would be disappointed if hes not in the first 3/4 on the day.
Back Majborough 0.5pt EW at 10/1 (bet365 NRNB)
2.10pm Cheltenham Day 4 Tip
Given their recent record in the race, we must respect the chances of Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton. The latter saddles defending champion Favoir who gets in off just a 2-pound higher mark, although at 9, may be vulnerable to a younger improver. Willie has a few lively chances, the best of which might be Biakystock who was brought down when traveling well and well-backed at the DRF. However, I think Gordon Elliot has the strongest hand in this year’s race, firstly with Pied Piper who carried 11st 13 and a substandard Davy Russell to second place in last year’s renewal. With Danny Gillian likely to take off 5 pounds, he would effectively be running off a 4-pound lower mark in this year’s contest and would be very dangerous. However, I have long held the belief that KING OF KINGSFIELD (7/1) is tailor-made for the strong pace of a County Hurdle.
Verging on Supreme class, I think the handicapper has made up Gordon’s mind for him by leaving his Irish mark of 140 unchanged. A highly thought-of Bumper horse last year, he was a NR at Cheltenham before being placed behind A Dream to Share and Tullyhill in the Grade 1 Punchestown Flat Race. He has Grade 1 placed form on 2 of his last 3 starts, sandwiching an impressive Christmas win over the well-touted brother of Ferny Hollow, Mirazur West. With Jack Kennedy likely to be in the saddle, I can see him scything through the field and finishing off best of all coming up the Cheltenham hill.
Tip: KING OF KINGSFIELD (7/1 with Betfred)
2.50pm Cheltenham Day 4 Tip
The trainer has often used the Nathaniel Lacy Hurdle at the DRF over 2m 6 as a prep for the longer novice hurdle in Cheltenham. Minella Cocooner and Stattler competed in it before going on to be favourites for the Albert Bartlett. This year, that went to the Willie Mullins 4th string DANCING CITY, beating my early season fancy for this race Predators Gold into 2nd. However, a look back through his form would make it hard to believe that was the outsider of the field. At Punchestown last April, he was second in a bumper, splitting a certain Ballyburn and Slade Steel and while he was beaten on debut for Willie at short odds, that defeat was being outstayed by only half a length by Three Card Brag, giving that Rival 7 pounds (these were on Yielding and Heavy Ground which proves his versatility). I would put a line through his first start of the season, when most of Willie’s needed the run. Paul Townend didn’t give him a hard time when it was clear he was beaten and he has improved on each run since. He has the experience and fits the model of a typical winner in my eyes and at 8/1, I think he represents value in the race.
Tip: Dancing City at 8/1 with Betfred’s Cheltenham 2024 sign-up offer.
3.30pm Cheltenham Day 4 Tip
Corach Rambler has won at the Festival for the last 2 years but faces a huge step up in class if he is going to do a festival hat trick in this. Back-to-back Ultima chases followed by taking the 2023 Grand National has meant he has become somewhat of a public horse and I feel he won’t be without fans again this year. Those wins have shown us that he has endless amounts of stamina and loves Cheltenham and they are 2 good boxes to tick. Whether he’s good enough in a Gold Cup is up for debate. He may just be a very good handicapper. He hasn’t shown any form so far this season but that’s no reason to worry. He ran poorly on the exact same weekends in October and November last season before peaking in the spring and it wouldn’t surprise me if he was to come alive again once the sun starts shining. He may not have the class of the top ones here but he cannot be dismissed in the place markets.
Back Corach Rambler 1 pt EW at 20/1 (William Hill NRNB)
5.30pm Cheltenham Day 4 Tip
The last race of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival is affectionately known as the ‘Boys Race’ as it is limited to conditional kjockeys. The big talking horse here is Sa Majeste who has somehow managed to get away with an unchanged British mark of 140. However, at 4/1, with the dismal record of favourites, you really are forced to look elsewhere. JP has other notable entries with Waterford Whispers and No Ordinary Joe (look to see who Aidan Kelly gets Jocked up on). However, for the selection, I will go to Gordon again, who loves to win the race named after his mentor. I am hoping Danny Gilligan will be on BETTER DAYS AHEAD (14/1) who went off 10/1 for the Champion Bumper last year. He was beaten just 5 lengths by Slade Steel in a Navan Grade 2 and on his last start was 10 lengths behind Supreme Dark Horse Asian Master (giving him 15 pounds). I think that this could be a well-hatched year-long plan for Gordon and as a 140 rated, 6 year old Irish Novice, he fits all the trends.
Selection: Better Days Ahead at 14/1 with bet365’s Cheltenham offer.
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Cheltenham Day 4 Races
| START TIMES | RACE | DISTANCE | TYPE | TELEVISED |
| 13:30 | The JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1) | 2m abt 1f | Hurdle | ITV |
| 14:10 | The McCoy Contractors County Handicap Hurdle Race (Grade 3) | 2m abt 1f | Hurdle | ITV |
| 14:50 | The Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle Race (Grade 1) | abt 3m | Hurdle | ITV |
| 15:30 | The Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Steeple Chase (Grade 1) | 3m abt 2½ f | Chase | ITV |
| 16:10 | The St. James’s Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Steeple Chase | 3m abt 2½ f | Chase | ITV |
| 16:50 | The Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Steeple Chase (Grade 2) | 2m abt ½f | Chase | |
| 17:30 | Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (0-145) | 2m abt 4½ f | Hurdle |
2024 Cheltenham Festival Day 4 Ante-Post Betting Tips
The ante-post markets are starting to hot up with bookies going NRNB on the racing and so our Friday betting tips for Cheltenham are taking shape.
We continually keep our eyes on the markets as well as making the most of any insider knowledge and news coming out of the stables. Our resident horse racing expert has been hard at it and you’ll find their top ante-post betting tips on Cheltenham Day 4 below…
Where Can I Bet On Cheltenham Festival Day 4?
It’s the big one and the bookies are always out in full force on the final day of the Cheltenham Festival. For many, it’s all about the Gold Cup, but you’ll find great odds on all seven races across the day.
The likes of SBK, Coral, Betfred and LiveScoreBet all will have great value odds and a host of specials to enjoy, while the same can be said for the likes of Paddy Power too, who always manage to pull something interesting out of their hat on Gold Cup day.
We’ll always bring you the bookie with the best odds for all of our tips, while you can play with some of our very favourites by browsing the most tried and trusted below…
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Triumph Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
- Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the Triumph Hurdle, 12/12 winners had their last run within the last 48 days
- 7/12 winners ran in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 7 won, 3 placed
- 2/12 winners ran in the Finesse Juvenile Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
- Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 15-17 Furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over 15-17 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
- Rating – 8/12 winners were rated 140 or higher (4/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
- Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
County Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 9 of the last 12 winners have been aged 5 or 6
- Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 8/12 winners were priced 10/1 or bigger
- Weight – 9/12 winners carried 11st 1lb or less
- Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the County Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 72 days
- Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 1/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over 15-17 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 15-17 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1
- Previous win over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
- Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
- Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 7/12 winners won on their previous run before the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle, 9/12 winners had their last run within 54 days
- Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over 23-25 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 140 or higher
- Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
- Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 11 of last 12 winners were aged between 7-9
- Price – 5 of last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 9 of last 12 winners won on their previous run before the Cheltenham Gold Cup, 11/12 winners had their last run within the last 80 days, 12/12 winners had their last run 33 days or longer ago
- 3/12 winners ran in the Irish Gold Cup (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
- 2/12 winners ran in the Denman Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
- 2/12 winners ran in the Savills Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
- Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous Cheltenham run, 6/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs over 24 furlongs or further, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 24 furlongs or further, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over 24 furlongs or further
- Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
- Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous chase wins, 11/12 had at least 3 previous chase wins
- Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 164 or higher, 5/12 were rated 170 or higher
- Grade 1 Wins – 12/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 1 race, 7/12 had won at least 2
- Grade 2 Wins – 9/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 2 race, 5/12 had won at least 2
- Grade 3 Wins – 8/12 winners had won at least 1 Grade 3 race
- Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 had at least 1 win that season
Hunter Chase Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or older
- Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
- Last Run – 6/12 winners won on their last run before the Hunters Chase, 9/12 winners won or placed on their last run before Cheltenham, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 43 days
- Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 26/27 furlongs, 3 of the 7 had at least 1 win over 26/27 furlongs
- Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
- Rating – 10/12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher
- Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle Trends & Stats 2024
- Age – 10 of the last 12 winners have been aged 5 or 6
- Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourite, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 8/12 winners were priced 11/1 or bigger
- Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
- Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
- Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
- Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 7/12 had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
- Rating – 12/12 winners had a rating of 134 or higher
- Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
What Are Other Pundits Predicting For Cheltenham Festival Day 4?
Every man and their dog will have their thoughts on the Gold Cup, but we’re only interested in what our trusted tipsters and the best pundits in the game have to say. Throughout ITV Racing’s coverage there will be plenty of ex-jockeys and pundits having their say, including the likes of Ruby Walsh, AP McCoy and popular names like Matt Chapman.
We make sure you don’t miss anything they have to say, and as well as on this page, you’ll find a dedicated pundits tips page where you’ll find all their tips and how to bet on them right across the festival.
2024 Cheltenham Festival Free Bets for Day 4
Why not finish off your festival of betting in style with one of the dozens of free bets available to bet on the Gold Cup and every other race across Day 4. All your favourite bookmakers will be offering top promotions, from Betfred to SBK, and we’ll bring then directly to you.
You’ll find many available below, while you can also head to our free bet page where we have a host of others as well as the information you need to sign up and start playing.
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