Premier League Stats Focus – Leicester City vs Tottenham

The Saturday football looks like it’s never ended this weekend and we go all the way to 7.45pm for the first in a set of new features – Premier League stat focus. In these articles we will cruch the numbers and try and find an angle for our betting tips.

Leicester and Tottenham have been involved in some very high scoring matches in recent seasons and it doesn’t take a statistician to work out that there are a high number of goals predicted this weekend.

 

Recent Meetings

The last time these two met in the Premier League was at the end of last season at Wembley. Tottenham won the match 5-4 in a real ding dong battle. That kept up a run of four head to head meetings between Leicester and Tottenham where both teams have scored. Last season other result ended 2-1 to Leicester at the King Power. In the 2016/17 season, Spurs beat Leicester 6-1 in this fixture.

Since Leicester’s return to the Premier League, both teams have scored in nine of the 11 meetings between these two teams (three FA Cup ties).

 

Leicester vs Tottenham xG says BTTS

Leicester have had an xG of over 1.00 in their last five home matches. Tottenham have had an xG of over 1.00 in eight of their nine away matches this season and have also ended with some pretty high numbers in that time, including 2.34 at Huddersfield, 2.12 at Brighton and 2.58 at Newcastle.

This season 57% of Leicester’s home matches have landed a BTTS bet, and 56% of Tottenham’s away games have. You can bet on both teams to score this weekend at odds of 4/6.

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Jamie Vardy or Harry Kane to score? Both?

Harry Kane already has nine goals this season, Jamie Vardy five. Both of the players scored twice in the 5-4 match last season and both also scored in the reverse fixture. In the 6-1 fixture from the 2016/17 season Kane bagged a hat-trick.

In the last three matches between these teams, Jamie Vardy has scored two and Kane has netted five times. With Kane already on nine goals for this season, averaging better than a goal a game, he would be the selection for an anytime goalscorer bet. It is also worth noting that Kane has scored six of those goals away from home this season and four have been a first goal.

The odds for Kane to score anytime are 20/21 and looking at the stats the likelihood of this happening is more than a 1 in 2 chance.

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Tottenham to fly out of the blocks

The last betting angle we’re looking at for Saturday night’s Leicester vs Tottenham fixture is the team to score first and there is a strong statistic to back up Tottenham here.

Spurs have scored first in 12 of their 15 matches so far this season.

Leicester have scored first in just 5 of their 15 matches.

Tottenham have scored in all of their away games so far this season.

In terms of form, Spurs are 81% better than Leicester in the first half results statistics when looking at Tottenham’s away form and Leicester’s home form.

That makes the last of our Leicester vs Tottenham betting tips Tottenham to score the first goal of the match.

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